You are browsing the archive for January 2012 Archives - Dynasty Football Fan.

Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

Senior Bowl Fantasy Notes

January 30, 2012 in NFL Draft

The North beat the South 23-13 this weekend and I took some time to watch the game and take some notes as I watched.  Here are some thoughts on some fantasy relevant players that came up during the game:

  • The South got the ball first and Brandon Weeden, Vick Ballard, Joe Adams and Juron Criner were the skill position starters.
  • Vick Ballard runs to high and seems to slow to make it in the NFL unless he bulks up and moves to FB.
  • I’ll be mostly focused on offense in this article but will note some good IDP play too.
  • Weeden has good footwork on his three step drops.
  • North starters are Russell Wilson, Chris Polk, TJ Graham, Brian Quick
  • Chris Polk didn’t get great feedback at his weigh-in this week and didn’t look as quick and fluid as other backs.  The first couple of carries he got in the game and he looked pretty solid.  He made a couple of cuts, made some guys miss and gained a few good yards.
  • Janoris Jenkins may be small, but he sure is aggressive.  He is not afraid to take on guys much bigger than he is.
  • Wilson had a chance for a TD but he threw high in the corner.
  • WR Dwight Jones had a nice one handed catch on a 5 yard out.  He sure looks big in that white uni!
  • RB Terrence Ganaway had a nice 15 yard run but it was more due to good blocking, he wasn’t touched until he was 13 yards down field.  2 plays later he lost 4 yards when he tried to be shifty
  • Jeff Fuller caught it with his hands on a long 3rd down and did the best he could.  I liked how he looked on that play.
  • Russell Wilson just doesn’t look like a pro QB.  On his second drive he just floats a high ball in the middle of the field for an easy TD.
  • Weeden also looks like he has a lot of work to do.  Although it’s been a slow offensive game at the beginning.
  • Wilson gets the first TD and had a pretty good 4th series.  He’s still not a NFL quality QB and a fantasy non-factor.
  • Ryan Lindley comes in to replace Weeden and promptly hands off a couple of times.  His first throw his footwork still looks uneasy from under center.  He looked uncomfortable on his first bootleg but it was to his off-side.  Lindley to Criner for 2 first downs on this drive prior to the 5o yard line.  Lindley also pats the ball once or twice before he throws it.  He certainly has the size of an NFL QB.
  • Joe Adams is electric.  I really like this guy, not as a #1 fantasy WR but as a Randall Cobb type of guy.  He’ll be productive if he finds a team that knows how to use him.
  • Lindley had a chance for a TD but was way off target.  On replay it looked like he didn’t step into his pass.
  • Kellen Moore replaced Wilson midway through the second quarter.  His first few throws he makes good decisions but clearly has a weak arm compared to the other QBs that have been in the game so far.
  • Quinton Coples, DE from UNC has been a monster this series.  He sacked Moore, knocked a ball down and seems to have the motor running.
  • Zach Brown, LB also from UNC makes a great play on a screen by getting around a blocker and making a one handed tackle on Dan Herron.
  • Lindley is still looking inaccurate in his second series.
  • Kirk Cousins hits the field for the 2 minute drill and looks pretty good.  Nice zip on a mid-range throw.  In the red zone I notice that he looked off the defense and went backside to the fullback.
  • Doug Martin had a great week of practice and looked good at the beginning of the second half with some shifty runs, he made the most yards he could on every play and certainly looked like a small but potentially decent fantasy RB
  • Kirk Cousins seems like the best QB out here so far.  He’s played smart, within himself.  He’s been accurate, good footwork, nice zip on the ball and has made good reads.  His touchdown was a broken pocket where he zipped the ball to the middle crossing route and Robinson lumbered (man for a WR he took forever) into the end zone.  Cousins will raise his draft stock with this game and while he’s not a fantasy stud, he’s worth keeping an eye on if he gets into a nice situation.
  • Nick Foles comes in for the South and looks pretty good under center.  He’s also been pretty accurate, good footwork for a spread option QB.  I’ve seen him read the defense a couple of times and go to the backside play which is good.  The bad news is that he’s looked a bit inaccurate on underneath throws and he’s had a lot of success throwing to his former teammate WR Juron Criner.
  • Speaking of Criner, he looks like a solid #2 receiver in fantasy football.  He doesn’t have the speed to be a big strong #1 guy but he has size and great hands.
  • Joe Adams is electric.  Oh, I said that already.  He turned a 2-yard loss into a 5-yard gain on 3rd and 4 and broke a tackle of two guys to do it.  The kid has heart, that’s for sure.
  • Dan Herron just does nothing that makes me feel like he’s an NFL worthy RB.

So, to recap.  Cousins, Adams, Foles, Criner, Martin worth keeping an eye on.  Lindley, Weeden, Herron, Wilson, Moore don’t bother with.

Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

Top 5 Free Agents With Dynasty Impact

January 29, 2012 in Fantasy Advise

There are a ton of free agents every year but only a few really have a positive impact from a dynasty perspective.  Here are my list of the top 5 free agents that if they move to the right situation, could be better statistically than they have been in the past.

  • Jermichael Finley – Here’s an interesting situation, a top 5 TE that under-performed the last 2 seasons?  2 seasons ago he finished on IR and last year he was thought to be a guy who could be in the Gronkowski/Graham mold and compete with those guys.  He didn’t and he disappointed many, despite his top 5 finish.  Strictly from a fantasy perspective, Finley would be better off moving to another team where he’d be a top target.  If that happens this summer, the sky is the limit.  Possible suitors: Dolphins, Seahawks, Bears.
  • Matt Flynn – Another Green Bay product that will most likely be moving on this year.  Honestly, he scares me and I don’t think he’s nearly as good as his 6 TD outing would suggest.  Much like Kevin Kolb last year, he’s never truly shown that he can be successful consistently.  Whatever team he goes to he will be surrounded by much less talent on offense so it won’t be a cakewalk for him either.  All of that being said, he’ll get his shot and he could be very productive.  Possible Suitors: Dolphins, Seahawks, Chiefs, Broncos.
  • Vincent Jackson – Something just wasn’t right in San Diego this year was it?  Philip Rivers was having problems and Jackson seemed like he just didn’t care anymore.  That will change if he gets the payoff he so desperately desires.  Jackson had extremely variable results last season, getting 30+ fantasy points one game then 2 points the next game.  You just couldn’t rely on him. But you know what?  Despite that he finished in the top 10.  My guess is, if he goes to a team with a good QB, he gets more consistent next season and gets back into the top 5.  Possible suitors: Bears, Jaguars, Buccaneers, 49ers.
  • Peyton Hillis – Here’s a guy on a terrible team who has produced for them despite a lack of talent around him and injuries that plagued him after his “madden cursed” year last season.  If he gets into a good offensive team, there is no doubt he can be a battering ram and improve on the stats he produced in Cleveland.  He’s never going to be a top 5 RB, but just from a TD perspective he can definitely be a top 10 RB for many more years on the right team.  Possible suitors: 49ers, Cardinals, Buccaneers, Colts
  • Jason Campbell – My final guy is a flier that I think will work out handsomely for some team.  Jason Campbell is certainly an enigma but he was having a darn good season last year prior to his injury.  There is no way he’s staying in Oakland after they broke the bank for Carson Palmer.  So if Campbell lands in a spot that affords him a starting opportunity and he doesn’t get hurt, he will be a sneaky pick-up for somebody’s fantasy squad. Possible suitors: Jaguars, Jets, Seahawks
Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

Senior Bowl Week Gets Under Way

January 25, 2012 in NFL Draft

Well, the honest truth is that I don’t have access to Senior Bowl practice, weigh-ins and live updates.  That won’t stop me from giving my Dynasty fans something to peruse to help you get insight into soon to be rookies in the NFL.  My two favorite sites for Senior Bowl coverage are:

NFL Draft Countdown – Scott Wright and Shawn Hallam do a great job of covering Senior Bowl all week long.

Rob Rang’s NFL Draft Blog – He puts together a blog to catch you up on all the week’s action.

Keep up-to-date with these guys all week.  I plan on watching (and reviewing) the game on Saturday to provide several more posts next week on my insights from the game itself.

By the way, interesting note…Chris Polk, the RB from Washington was always considered a junior yet he’s been invited and is playing in the Senior Bowl.  Turns out, he played 2 games in 2008 and was then injured and was thought to have medical redshirted that year.  Turns out, not so much.  He is therefore a senior with no eligibility left and is playing in the Senior Bowl. Go figure!

Also of note in Monday Practice was that Doug Martin looked impressive.  Not only did he look chiseled in his weigh in but he’s been explosive on the field.  Let’s hope he carries that to the game.

Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

Top Rookie Wide Receiver Fantasy Sleepers

January 24, 2012 in Fantasy Advise

Offense wins in fantasy football and it’s no different in a dynasty league.  One of the challenges in the dynasty format is filling every starting spot with a quality option and no position is harder to do that with then the Wide Receiver position.  It helps if you have 2 WR starters and a flex, but if you have 3 WR starters on your squad, it’s very difficult to find quality 3rd receivers, especially ones that could develop into WR2s or WR1s in the future.

Here are 5 soon to be rookie wide receivers that are not in the top 5 rankings and would be easy to choose with big future upside.

    1. Tommie Streeter – Miami (Fla.) –  here’s a surprise junior that came out despite very few stats.  He didn’t do anything as a freshman or sophomore but had a decent junior year and bolted for the NFL.  Here’s the thing, he’s 6-4 and 215 pounds and allegedly runs a 4.4 40-yard dash.  If he can back those stats up and find himself on a team with a good quarterback (he’ll be chosen in the 3rd/4th round) he’s got the kind of potential that could develop into a #1 receiver by his third year.
    2. T.Y. Hilton – FIU – Hilton was by far the best athlete on this team (which also happens to have it’s campus in Miami, Fl).  He’s small and shifty so he won’t be a dominant #1 guy in the future, but he could be a poor man’s Desean Jackson or Percy Harvin for sure.  He’s the kind of kid you want to give the ball to in space to let him break a tackle.  After a year or two in the bigs, he could develop into a solid #3 and potential #2 WR.
    3. Dwight Jones – North Carolina – Another big WR (6-4, 225)  that had a great senior year with over 1,100 yards and 11 TDs.  He’s had some off the field issues that give him a question mark and he needs to improve his consistency and route running, so he won’t be a first rounder for sure, but with his size and production in college, he has what it takes to develop into a solid contributor.
    4. Joe Adams – Arkansas – This guy is like Randall Cobb, small and fast with incredible return skills who most likely will develop a role, especially if he gets to a good offense.  He’s a bit small but he can be a Mike Wallace kind of guy if given the opportunity.  By the way, you have not lived until you’ve seen this punt return by Adams against Tennesee…

v.  Jeff Fuller – Texas A&M – Fuller is 6-4, 217 so he has the frame to be successful in the NFL, plus his          father played for the 49ers.  Fuller is inconsistent but productive so he’ll need to develop his concentration and hands a bit but if you can get him for cheap in a rookie draft, he could pay dividends down the road.

 

Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

Pre-Draft Top 10 Dynasty Rookies

January 22, 2012 in Fantasy Advise

Ok, it’s still January.  The NFL playoffs are not even complete yet, the Senior Bowl, NFL Combine, free agency and NFL Draft have not even occurred yet.  Still, it’s never too early to talk about who you’re going to want to target with that first round pick in next year’s dynasty rookie draft.  So without further ado, here’s my pre-draft top 10 dynasty rookie list:

  1. Trent Richardson – You really could consider Andrew Luck here, but if Luck is going to Indy and sitting for a year or two behind Peyton Manning, then Richardson gets the nod.  Let’s be clear here, Richardson is no Adrian Peterson.  He’s not an elite RB prospect and he comes from a run heavy offensive scheme.  That being said, he is better than his predecessor Mark Ingram at this point in his development and Ingram was at the top of most drafts last year.
  2. Andrew Luck – Everything that the pundits say is true, he has everything he needs to be the next Peyton Manning, including Mannings team!  I don’t like it when people anoint a player before he’s taken a snap, but in terms of choosing this kid for your fantasy squad, there is no better player in this draft.
  3. Lamar Miller – I really like this kid’s get up and go.  He’s got speed, agility, a solid frame that’s below average for an NFL RB but if he adds 10 pounds of muscle between his rookie and 2nd year and keeps his moves, he can be the real deal in the right situation.
  4. Chris Polk – Playing on a poor team really didn’t help Polk but he’s a solid contributor with NFL size and moves to be successful.  The team he goes to will help determine if he jumps Lamar Miller or goes down a notch post-draft.
  5. Robert Griffin III – I’ve never seen a spread option quarterback have a 70% completion ratio.  He can run, he can pass, he will need time to develop his timing and read ability in the NFL, but he’s worth the shot.  Just keep in mind, he’s not Cam Newton.  Newton is huge, Griffin is small in NFL quarterback standards, and that is a bit of a risk.
  6. Justin Blackmon – He just can’t compare to the two elite prospects that came out last year in AJ Green and Julio Jones.  That said, he has all the tools to be successful and if he finds himself with a decent developing QB (ie. Sam Bradford, Christian Ponder) then he could be productive right out of the gate.
  7. Alshon Jeffery – A lot of people don’t like him due to his lack of speed and some character issues.  I’m not one of those people.  He has the size to dominate NFL cornerbacks and has been VERY productive in the best conference in the land.  Call me a believer.
  8. David Wilson – He’s only a one year starter but what a year.  Over 1,700 yards at Virginia Tech is very impressive.  He’s small for an NFL back but has all the tools to succeed otherwise.  A bit of a risk due to size and lack of sustained performance over a couple of years but a great prospect none-the-less.
  9. Michael Floyd – I love big wide receivers and here’s another one for you.  Michael Floyd has all of the tools to succeed he just needs to show maturity and that he’s ready to commit to being the best player he can be in the NFL.  Watch the scouting combine closely and see where he lands, if there are no red flags, don’t hesitate to take him late in the first round.
  10. Ryan Tannehill – He’s raw, but very talented.  played 2 years at WR so he’s an athlete playing QB.  When moved to QB he was very productive but not necessarily a winner, nor a finisher.  These are traits that can be developed and he’ll need time to improve his mechanics too.  All of that said, he has too much talent to keep him out of the top 10.

So there you have it, my pre-draft top 10 dynasty rookies.  What do you think?

Avatar of Ken C.

by Ken C.

East-West Shrine Game Fantasy Impact

January 22, 2012 in NFL Draft

The East-West Shrine Game always kicks off the part of the off-season that I love the best, rookie prospect watching!  So, who were the risers and fallers in the game?  Here’s what you need to know:

  • Quarterbacks Chandler Harnish from Northern Illinois and Tyler Hansen from Colorado both had TD runs in the game.  Neither are top prospects and they did nothing to enhance their draft status.
  • One quarterback who impressed all week in practice and played well in the game was Tennessee-Chattanooga’s B.J. Coleman.  He had a couple of nice passes including a TD pass.  He’s not a top prospect but his effort in practice and impact on the game helped his draft status for sure.  He’s also a former Tennessee recruit.
  • Chase Ford is a TE from the top TE producing school in the land, the University of Miami.  He’s 6-6 and 258 pounds with very little experience (even less than Jimmy Graham, who also came from Miami).  He’s super-raw but comes from the right school, has the right dimensions and had a good week in practice so he’s someone to keep and eye on.
  • John Brantley, the mercurial QB from Florida has the pedigree but really didn’t stand out at all this week nor in the game, ignore him for sure.

While next week’s Senior Bowl is the premier college all-star game for fantasy quality players, the East-West Shrine game is always good to check out some sleepers and keep guys on the radar.  This year is no exception.